Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 1.264801 1.491291 1.727504 1.990737 2.274465 2.569778 2.899115
2025-01-19 0.979807 1.304271 1.663132 2.083000 2.554905 3.063789 3.649162
2025-01-26 0.848772 1.229135 1.666562 2.193970 2.801346 3.469263 4.250289
2025-02-02 0.754470 1.180565 1.687872 2.315221 3.052039 3.874802 4.848995
2025-02-09 0.693231 1.159677 1.731370 2.452799 3.313099 4.284894 5.446223
2025-02-16 0.617311 1.109446 1.731147 2.531739 3.500652 4.607210 5.941049
2025-02-23 0.531356 1.034897 1.692251 2.556781 3.618805 4.844926 6.335347
2025-03-02 0.418412 0.908542 1.576329 2.477766 3.605078 4.923173 6.540923
2025-03-09 0.318462 0.786299 1.455108 2.383206 3.565216 4.964812 6.698860
2025-03-16 0.249354 0.700323 1.375195 2.335171 3.577198 5.063606 6.919677
2025-03-23 0.213718 0.664191 1.361843 2.371885 3.693036 5.285631 7.284773
2025-03-30 0.178294 0.622425 1.336674 2.390100 3.783525 5.475585 7.610772
2025-04-06 0.132544 0.554593 1.271898 2.357388 3.815057 5.602352 7.873258
2025-04-13 0.119939 0.552104 1.307098 2.463636 4.027587 5.953677 8.408527
2025-04-20 0.111530 0.556825 1.352534 2.583345 4.256887 6.325044 8.967299
2025-04-27 0.106175 0.567547 1.407317 2.716374 4.504014 6.719124 9.554422
2025-05-04 0.104080 0.585550 1.473787 2.866111 4.773316 7.141088 10.175796
2025-05-11 0.092328 0.577183 1.496044 2.952074 4.958416 7.458392 10.670640
2025-05-18 0.073855 0.546237 1.478525 2.979276 5.064847 7.677020 11.045363
2025-05-25 0.045658 0.474547 1.386007 2.893343 5.017887 7.701576 11.182177
2025-06-01 0.023597 0.402888 1.285605 2.790357 4.944039 7.689240 11.271294
2025-06-08 0.011749 0.354545 1.221691 2.737985 4.935337 7.756429 11.455139
2025-06-15 0.007498 0.338939 1.218593 2.778017 5.052720 7.984073 11.836838